medium · Order Flow Analysis absorption-exhaustion-imbalance

In Treasury futures (ZN), a stacked buying imbalance appears at a level with 500 contracts per tick.

Why might a professional trader ignore this signal?

  1. Treasury futures do not respect order flow imbalances due to their narrow range.
  2. Buying imbalances in ZN are always offset by the Cash market.
  3. The absolute volume is too low to represent institutional conviction in the ZN market.
  4. The tick value of ZN makes 500 contracts too expensive to risk.

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