medium · Order Flow Analysis footprint-delta

During an ES session, yesterday's Value Area Low (VAL) is 4505.00. Today, price pulls back to 4505.00 on a bar with negative delta. However, at 4505.00, the bid volume is 2500 and price refuses to tick lower.

Which order flow phenomenon is occurring?

  1. Passive institutional buying is absorbing the aggressive selling.
  2. Retail traders are liquidating their positions at the previous close.
  3. Aggressive sellers are creating a stacked selling imbalance to break VAL.
  4. The market is experiencing a 'stop-run' into thin liquidity below VAL.

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