medium · Order Flow Analysis market-mechanics-execution

In a 5-minute ES footprint, the high is 4528.00. At that price, 890 contracts traded on the ask. The price level immediately below shows selling imbalances, the bar delta is +40, and the COT is at the high.

If the bar closes at 4526.50, what is the outlook for the high?

  1. The high is likely to break soon
  2. The market is in fair value equilibrium
  3. The high is likely to hold
  4. Initiative buyers are in firm control

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