medium · Order Flow Analysis market-mechanics-execution

The E-mini S&P 500 (ES) opens at 4525.00. You observe a 5-minute footprint bar where the topmost price level has a bid volume of 25 contracts and an ask volume of 0 contracts at the next tick above.

What does this 'unfinished business' suggest for the session?

  1. Sellers have established a 'cap' and the high is likely to hold.
  2. The auction at the high is incomplete and price will likely revisit the level.
  3. The market is in equilibrium and will likely range-trade.
  4. The market has reached total exhaustion and a reversal is imminent.

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