medium · Poker Theory Foundations

Board: Q♠ 9♠ 4♦ Hero: A♠ 3♠ Villain (BTN): Bets 6.6 bb into 10 bb. Hero estimates they have 9 outs. If Hero uses q = B/(P+B) to find the required fold frequency for a raise, what error are they committing?

  1. Conflating α with Required Equity.
  2. Falling for the Rule of 4. (under this line)
  3. Using the wrong pot size.
  4. Ignoring Combinatorics.

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