hard · Poker Theory Fundamentals
Scenario: Game: No-Limit Hold'em | Format: Cash Game | Blinds/Antes: 1/2, no ante | Effective Stacks: 100 bb | Hero Position: Big Blind | Pot Size: 100 bb. On a river board of K♥ 9♦ 4♣ 2♠ J♣, the Button bets 75 bb into a 100 bb pot. Hero holds K♣ Q♣.
- EV = -12.5 bb; Hero should fold because the bluff frequency is below the 30% required equity.
- EV = -30 bb; the large bet size makes calling an automatic error regardless of frequency.
- EV = 0 bb; the hand is a pure bluff-catcher and thus indifferent.
- EV = +25 bb; Hero must call according to Minimum Defense Frequency (MDF).
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