hard · Poker Theory Fundamentals

Scenario Header: Game: No-Limit Hold'em | Format: Cash Game | Blinds/Antes: 1/2, no ante | Effective Stacks: 100 bb | Hero Position: BB | Pot Size: 18 bb | River: K♠ 9diamond 4♣ 7♥ 2♠ Villain (UTG) bets 6 bb (33% pot). Hero holds 9♠ 8♠ (Middle Pair). Why is this bet size often used for 'Thin Value' and how should Hero respond?

  1. Villain is polarized, and since Hero only beats bluffs, Hero should fold to the 'strength' of a value-bet sizing.
  2. This is a block bet; Hero should raise to 100% of the pot to exploit the Villain's lack of strong hands.
  3. Small river bets target a wide range of marginal hands for value; Hero should call because the required equity is only 20%.
  4. Hero must defend exactly 75% of their range (MDF) regardless of their specific hand strength.

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