medium · Poker Theory Fundamentals
(Turn). Villain probes the turn for 15 bb after the flop checked through. If the population is known to 'probe-fold' 68% of the time, what is Hero's best exploitative response?
- The MDF-as-Calling-Frequency Trap: Hero must call exactly 68% of the time. (under this line) (under this line)
- Call to realize equity since Villain is likely bluffing.
- Fold more frequently because the turn probe is typically value-heavy.
- Raise a wide range of bluffs because the Villain folds significantly more than equilibrium (MDF) requires.
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