hard · Poker Theory Postflop
Hero (BTN) bets the flop K♠ 7♦ 3♠ and BB calls. The turn is the 2♠. How does Hero's betting frequency theoretically respond to this monotone runout?
- Betting frequency collapses to roughly 20-35% because the nut advantage shifts toward the defender.
- Hero should overbet 150% pot with all A♠ combinations to deny equity.
- Betting frequency increases to 70%+ to maximize pressure on the BB's non-flush hands. (under this line)
- Strategy remains identical to the flop due to suit isomorphism.
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