medium · Poker Theory Preflop

A CO opens to 2.5 and the BTN calls. You squeeze to 12.5 bb. Why does this play require a much higher fold frequency to be profitable than a heads-up 3-bet?

  1. Squeezing is only allowed with premium hands like AA or KK.
  2. The 'Sunk-Cost Fallacy' makes the original raiser more likely to call a squeeze.
  3. The caller in the middle usually has a much stronger range than the initial raiser. (under this line) (under this line)
  4. Because both players must fold for the squeeze to succeed, and their fold probabilities compound (f^2).

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