medium · Poker Theory Preflop
Hero 4-bets A5s. Villain shoves. If Hero folds, how much 'Realized Profit' did the 4-bet generate if Villain folded 70% of the time?
- The expected value calculation must include both the fold branch and the fold-to-shove loss.
- Profit is 13.5 bb because that's what Hero won when Villain folded.
- Profit is zero because Hero folded.
- Profit depends entirely on whether Hero would have won the hand post-flop. (under this line)
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