medium · Poker Theory River
Hero identifies a 'LAG' opponent who checks back the flop but 'Folds to Turn Probe' 75% of the time. Hero decides to probe for 100% of Hero's range. What is the primary risk of this adjustment?
- Hero will pay too much in rake, falling into the 'R-term Trap'.
- Hero will suffer from a 'Results-Oriented Trap' if the opponent hits their 25% equity. (under this line) (under this line)
- The adjustment is highly counter-exploitable if the opponent begins to check-raise or call with their entire range.
- The 'Raw Equity' of Hero's air hands will collapse on the river.
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