medium · Poker Theory River
Hero (PFR) checks back J♥ T♥ on A♠ 8♦ 2♣. The turn is the 4♣. If Hero's strategy shows a delayed c-bet EV of +2.4 bb against a population that probes 25% of turns, what is the primary source of this profit?
- The EV is derived from the population's under-probing error, which leaves their turn checking range weak and over-folded.
- The turn 4♣ is a 'Nut Card' for the Pre-flop raiser's checking range.
- Hero's hand has 40% equity when called, which justifies the bet.
- The population's high MDF on the turn forces Hero to bet for protection. (under this line) (under this line) (under this line)
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