medium · Poker Theory River
On 9♥ 8♥ 7♠, Hero c-bets 4 bb (nearly pot) and faces a check-raise to 14 bb. Hero's range consists of overpairs, draws, and air. Why should Hero's actual continue frequency be slightly lower than the theoretical MDF calculation of 40.3%?
- Equity realization on dynamic boards is harder for the out-of-position player's bluffs.
- Hero should always defend exactly MDF to remain unexploitable.
- Many hands in Hero's range lack sufficient equity and a plan to reach the river.
- The BB's check-raise range on wet boards is always value-heavy.
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