hard · Poker Theory River
On a river board of J♠ 8♣ 4♥ 2♠ 10♣, Hero bets 60 bb (full pot) as a bluff. Villain must decide whether to call.
- The EV is zero because equilibrium ensures the caller is indifferent between calling and folding. (under this line) (under this line) (under this line)
- The EV is negative 12 bb, calculated as 0.20(120) - 0.80(60).
- The EV is positive because Villain should still defend at a frequency defined by MDF = 50%.
- The EV is negative because the actual bluff frequency (20%) is lower than the required equity threshold (33.3%) provided by the pot odds.
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