medium · Quantitative Finance numerical

When using a control variate X to estimate Y, what happens if the two variables are perfectly uncorrelated?

  1. The estimator becomes biased and fails to converge to the true mean.
  2. The standard error of the estimate increases by a factor of roughly √(2).
  3. The variance of the estimate is reduced all the way down to exactly zero with certainty.
  4. The variance of the estimate remains the same as the raw Monte Carlo variance.

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