hard · Quantitative Finance prob-stats

A Markov chain for market regimes has two states: Calm and Stressed. A Calm market remains Calm with probability 0.90 and becomes Stressed with probability 0.10. A Stressed market remains Stressed with 0.75 probability.

What is the long-run probability of being in the Stressed state?

  1. 75.0%
  2. 28.6%
  3. 25.0%
  4. 10.0%

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