medium · Volume Price Analysis validation

A currency pair rallies 50 pips on a news release, but the move is accompanied by tick volume that is only 50% of the 20-bar average.

What is the most likely outcome?

  1. A continuation of the move as the news has been fully digested.
  2. The market will enter a 'price waterfall' in the direction of the move.
  3. A period of low-volatility sideways trading.
  4. A reversal of the move as it was a 'trap up' by insiders.

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