medium · Volume Price Analysis wyckoff-laws

A long-legged doji appears during a major news release, such as Non-Farm Payrolls.

If the tick volume is significantly below the average, what is the VPA diagnosis of the market activity?

  1. The news has created a genuine stand-off between buyers and sellers, reflecting heavy institutional interest here.
  2. The low volume confirms that the news was already fully priced in beforehand and will have no lasting effect on the trend.
  3. The market is entering an accumulation phase simply because doji candlesticks are widely believed to always signal bottoms.
  4. The insiders are stop-hunting and whipping the price to trigger orders without taking a genuine directional position.

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