medium · Volume Profile Analysis auction-market-theory

The ES initial balance (first 60 minutes) for the session establishes a range of 5,600 to 5,620. By the third hour, price trades to 5,635, breaking above the IB high on elevated volume.

How is this price action classified in Market Profile terminology?

  1. A failed auction, because price broke above the initial balance and will inevitably return inside it
  2. A value area extension, because the breakout is building new value above the 5,620 composite VAH
  3. Upside range extension — the time frames beyond the A/B periods are accepting trade above the initial balance
  4. An Open-Drive continuation, because any break above the IB high on volume is classified as an Open-Drive

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