medium · Volume Profile Analysis auction-market-theory

In the context of Initial Balance (IB), if the IB high is a 'poor high' (flat with no excess), what is the statistical probability of a range extension?

  1. Low, because a poor high indicates that buyers have completely exhausted themselves.
  2. High, because the market has not yet found an unfair price to reject the advance.
  3. Zero, as poor highs always lead to a Normal Day session type.
  4. It depends solely on the Delta of the first 30 minutes.

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