medium · Volume Profile Analysis auction-market-theory

A 'Neutral Day' is in progress in EUR/USD. The Initial Balance High (5,610) was broken at 10:30 AM. At 1:00 PM, price reversed and broke the Initial Balance Low (5,585).

Where is the most likely close for the session?

  1. Precisely at the session VWAP so the day finishes with zero-delta balance.
  2. Near one of the extremes (Neutral-Extreme) or near the center (Neutral-Center).
  3. Inside the prior IB range, settling exactly on yesterday's naked POC reference level.
  4. At 150 percent of the IB range above the session high, near the 5,622 extension target.

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