medium · Volume Profile Analysis profile-anatomy

An E-mini S&P session displays a Narrow Initial Balance (NIB) covering only 20% of the 20-day ATR.

Based on the heuristics of Auction Market Theory, what is the approximate probability that the session will close outside of this Initial Balance range?

  1. 70% – 85%
  2. 40% – 55%
  3. 5% – 10%
  4. 20% – 30%

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