medium · Volume Profile Analysis profile-anatomy
An institutional participant has been working a large buy order in the ES throughout the session. By the close, the session profile shows a massive volume concentration at $5,615 — far exceeding all other price levels. The session's POC lands exactly at $5,615.
What can a volume-profile analyst infer from this outsized POC volume?
- A single session's outsized POC volume carries no structural meaning and offers a profile analyst no actionable forward inference whatsoever today.
- The market firmly rejected $5,615 as unfair value and is therefore unlikely to ever auction back to that exact traded price level again.
- Significant two-sided business was transacted at $5,615, making it the session's most agreed-upon fair value and a key reference for subsequent sessions
- The POC is only valid when it migrates to a fresh price level next session, because a repeated, stationary POC merely signals stale and meaningless price data.
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