easy · Volume Profile Analysis profile-shapes

After observing a D-shaped balanced profile on the ES that ended with the POC at $5,610, the next session opens with price driving directly to $5,635 — well above the prior VAH — and volume begins building at the higher level.

According to auction-market theory, what is the most likely carry-forward scenario?

  1. Responsive sellers will immediately drive price back to $5,610 because it was yesterday's fair value
  2. The market is attempting to establish a new, higher value area; if volume continues to develop at the higher level, value acceptance has occurred
  3. The D-shape from the prior session guarantees price will return to the POC within 30 minutes
  4. The prior VAH automatically becomes the new session's POC

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