medium · Volume Profile Analysis profile-shapes

A trader is analyzing a session in GBP/JPY with an ATR of 80 pips. The Initial Balance (IB) is only 15 pips wide.

According to the relationship between IB width and extension probability, what should the trader expect?

  1. A 'Non-Trend Day' where price rotates around the open.
  2. A high probability of a 'Normal Day' staying within the 15-pip range.
  3. A high probability (>70%) of a range extension and a potential Trend Day.
  4. A 'Neutral-Center Day' with two-sided IB breaks.

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