medium · Volume Profile Analysis profile-shapes
Reviewing a 20-day composite volume profile for SPX, an analyst identifies the profile as having a pronounced P-shape: a well-developed upper distribution with POC at 5,240 and thin lower tail extending to 5,170. The prior 20 days the profile was a balanced single distribution centered at 5,195.
What does the shift from a single-distribution to a P-shape composite profile suggest about the evolving auction?
- The market has shifted from balanced to an upward-skewed auction; buyers are accepting higher value and the downside tail indicates failed lower probes
- The P-shape confirms a bearish trend here, since the concentrated upper volume reflects sellers distributing into the rally before a decline
- The shift to a P-shape means the prior 20-day POC at 5,195 has now been permanently eliminated and no longer functions as a structural reference of any kind
- A 20-day P-shape composite spans far too long a window to be meaningful, since volume profile structure only carries usable information on intraday session charts here
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