medium · Volume Profile Analysis profile-shapes

A weekly composite profile in crude oil (CL) shows a well-developed single distribution with POC at 77.80 and a tight value area from 77.10 to 78.50. The following week, price opens at 79.20 (above the prior VAH), trades between 79.00 and 79.80 for three days, and begins developing a new POC at 79.45.

Which volume-profile observation best describes what is happening?

  1. The prior week's POC at 77.80 is now the dominant reference and price will revert to it during the week
  2. A second distribution is forming above the prior week's value area; if it solidifies, the composite view will show a split profile with the LVN around 78.50 to 79.00 as the imbalance zone
  3. The price action above 79.00 represents a profile tail and should be ignored as excess
  4. The new POC at 79.45 cancels the prior week's POC and becomes the only valid reference going forward

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