hard · Volume Spread Analysis background-trend-context

An index is approaching a supply line in a downtrend channel. Bar 1 is an up-bar with a narrow spread on very high volume that fails to reach the line.

What is the most likely outcome for the trend line?

  1. The trend line will hold and price will reverse lower.
  2. The trend line will be broken on the next bar.
  3. The high volume indicates a successful test of supply.
  4. The index will enter a new accumulation phase.

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