medium · Volume Spread Analysis supply-demand-smart-money

A practitioner identifies a 'Successful Test' (down during the day, close on high, low volume) in a stock that has been declining. However, the next three bars are narrow-spread down-bars.

How should this 'Negative Response' be interpreted?

  1. The test was really just 'Hidden Demand,' so the drift is simply professional re-accumulation.
  2. The low volume on the following bars confirms there is no selling pressure.
  3. A secondary accumulation phase is now starting, so one should wait for a spring.
  4. The professionals saw the test but did not buy, confirming that weakness still dominates.

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