medium · Volume Spread Analysis supply-demand-smart-money

A stock produces a wide-spread down-bar on high volume, closing on the low. Two bars later, the price recovers to the high of that down-bar on very low volume.

What does this 'effort versus result' scenario reveal?

  1. The low-volume recovery is a successful test of the down-bar's supply, signaling an imminent reversal to the upside.
  2. The recovery on low volume is 'no demand,' indicating that the previous selling effort was genuine and the trend remains bearish.
  3. The sequence is a shake-out, as the low volume on the recovery shows that professional buying has completely removed the supply.
  4. The high-volume down-bar was absorption volume, and the low volume on the recovery shows that all sellers are exhausted.

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