medium · Volume Spread Analysis supply-demand-smart-money

A stock breaks above a 3-month accumulation range on a wide-spread up-bar and high volume. Two days later, it pulls back to the breakout level on very low volume and closes near its high.

What does this 'Test of Breakout' signal to the professional practitioner?

  1. The low volume on the pullback is 'No Demand' and indicates the breakout was a 'Trap Up-move.'
  2. The old resistance has successfully become support, and the lack of selling pressure on the pullback confirms the mark-up is healthy.
  3. The high volume on the breakout was 'Supply Swamping Demand,' and the stock is likely to fall back into the range.
  4. The stock is entering a 'Mushroom Top' pattern and should be shorted immediately at the breakout level.

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