hard · Volume Spread Analysis supply-demand-smart-money

A stock is trending down in a channel. It approaches the lower support line on a wide spread with volume that is lower than the previous bar and the 20-day average. The bar closes on the low. This is followed by a narrow-spread up-bar on average volume.

What is the diagnosis?

  1. Professional buying absorbed the supply at the trend line.
  2. Falling pressure followed by a pause; the decline is losing momentum but no reversal signal is present.
  3. A successful test of the support line indicating an immediate trend reversal.
  4. A 'shake-out' that has flushed the final weak holders.

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