hard · Volume Spread Analysis supply-demand-smart-money

A practitioner observes a wide-spread down-bar on ultra-high volume that closes on the highs during a panic sell-off. The news is universally negative.

What is the most logical next step for an elite trader?

  1. Wait for a 'no demand' bar to confirm the trend has reversed to the upside.
  2. Wait for a low-volume 'test' to confirm that the selling has been fully absorbed.
  3. Short the next rally because the high volume proves there is significant supply.
  4. Immediately buy the market because the 'selling climax' has occurred.

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