medium · Volume Spread Analysis supply-demand-smart-money

Consider an up-trend that has been 'rounding over' in a 'mushroom top' pattern. You see several up-bars where the volume is steadily declining while the spreads are also getting narrower.

What is the subtle sign of weakness being revealed here?

  1. The market is becoming 'overbought', and a 'selling climax' is imminent to reset the trend.
  2. A progressive withdrawal of professional demand as the market reaches a level where they have already finished distributing their holdings.
  3. This is 'absorption volume' on the upside, as professionals slowly buy up the remaining retail sell orders.
  4. Market-makers are 'marking down' on low volume to shake out weak holders before a final 'gap-up'.

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