hard · Volume Spread Analysis wyckoff-phases-schematics

An index has been in a steady decline for three weeks. On Monday, a wide-spread down-bar appears with volume reaching 2.4x the 20-day average, but the price closes in the upper 10% of the bar's range. On Tuesday and Wednesday, the market drifts sideways on average volume without making any upward progress.

What is the most professional interpretation of this sequence?

  1. The high volume on Monday confirms a Selling Climax, and the sideways drift is a standard re-accumulation phase that signals an immediate buy.
  2. The sideways movement on average volume confirms that the professionals have completely exited their short positions, making the trend neutral.
  3. Tuesday and Wednesday are 'No Selling Pressure' bars, which confirms that the mark-up phase has officially begun.
  4. The market is exhibiting a negative response to professional buying, suggesting that supply is still swamping demand.

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