hard · FRM Part 1 Financial Markets and Products

If the yield curve undergoes a significant non-parallel shift where long-term rates rise more than short-term rates (steepening), how is the Cheapest-to-Deliver (CTD) bond most likely to change for a long-duration Treasury bond futures contract?

  1. The CTD will automatically become the bond with the shortest maturity.
  2. The CTD will shift toward bonds with the highest conversion factors.
  3. The CTD will likely shift toward bonds with lower duration and lower coupons.
  4. The CTD status is invariant to parallel or non-parallel shifts in the yield curve.

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