hard · Frm Part 2 Credit Risk

An institutional fund manager is comparing two collateralized loan pools with the same expected loss of 5%. Pool A has a default correlation of 0.05, and Pool B has a default correlation of 0.40.

If the manager holds a senior tranche with an attachment point of 15%, which pool is riskier for the senior investor?

  1. Both pools have the same risk because their expected losses are equal
  2. Pool A, because low correlation means defaults are unpredictable
  3. Pool B, because high correlation creates fatter tails in the loss distribution
  4. Pool A, because it provides less diversification

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