easy · Frm Part 2 Credit Risk

In a CDS valuation model, what does the 'Survival Probability' S(t) represent?

  1. The probability that the recovery rate will be higher than 40%.
  2. The probability that the reference entity does not default before time t.
  3. The probability that the premium leg will be exactly equal to the protection leg.
  4. The probability that the protection seller remains solvent.

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