medium · Frm Part 2 Credit Risk

A bank uses the Merton structural model to estimate the Probability of Default (PD) for a levered firm. The analyst is provided with the firm's equity volatility σ_E = 60% and needs to input a volatility into the Distance to Default (DD) formula.

Which of the following actions is correct according to the model's design?

  1. The analyst should use the average of σ_E and the risk-free rate.
  2. The analyst should use σ_E directly because default risk is a property of the equity price.
  3. The analyst must back out the asset volatility σ_V, as σ_E overstates the risk for a levered firm.
  4. The analyst should use the volatility of the firm's specific bonds (the 'spread volatility').

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