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easy · GMAT Verbal Reasoning

An analysis of a company's past five years shows that every time the marketing budget was increased by at least 10%, sales also increased. The CEO concludes that increasing the marketing budget is a reliable way to drive sales growth.

Which of the following indicates a flaw in the CEO's reasoning?

  1. The reasoning ignores that a third factor, such as general economic growth, may have caused both the budget and the sales increases.
  2. The CEO does not specify the exact percentage increase in sales that followed each of the budget increases during the five-year period.
  3. Increasing the marketing budget may lead to higher costs that reduce the company's overall profit margin even while sales continue to grow.
  4. A 10% increase is a relatively small change, and a change of that size may not be large enough to be statistically significant on its own.
  5. The company's competitors also increased their marketing budgets during the same five-year period, according to an industry trade publication.

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