medium · LSAT Logical Reasoning

An analyst argues that a recently enacted law has succeeded in reducing crime. As evidence, the analyst notes that crime rates in the jurisdiction have fallen in the period since the law took effect.

The analyst's argument is most vulnerable to criticism because it fails to consider that:

  1. some people who commit crimes in the jurisdiction may be entirely unaware that the new law even exists.
  2. a decline in the measured crime rate does not by itself establish that residents actually feel any safer.
  3. enforcing the new law may end up costing more than the full monetary value of the crime it manages to prevent.
  4. the crime rate may already have been declining, owing to other social forces, before the law was ever passed.
  5. the law may have eliminated crime within the jurisdiction altogether, rather than merely reducing its incidence.

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