easy · LSAT Logical Reasoning

A political analyst argues: "Every successful revolution in history has been preceded by a period of economic instability. Our country is currently undergoing economic instability; therefore, a successful revolution is inevitable."

The analyst's reasoning is most vulnerable to criticism on the grounds that it:

  1. draws on a relatively small sample of past historical revolutions that is unlikely to be representative of all the relevant cases
  2. mistakes a condition that merely has to be present for an outcome for one that is enough by itself to bring the outcome about
  3. neglects to state with any real precision what is to count here, in the relevant sense, as a 'successful revolution'
  4. assumes that periods of economic instability are, in very nearly every case, the direct product of government corruption
  5. presumes that any country now experiencing economic instability is thereby doomed to political collapse of some kind

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