medium · LSAT Logical Reasoning

Every time the local professional basketball team wears their blue jerseys, they win their game. Consequently, if the team wants to ensure a victory tomorrow night, they must wear their blue jerseys.

The argument's reasoning is most vulnerable to criticism because it:

  1. Treats a condition shown to be sufficient for winning as though it were also required for winning.
  2. Concludes from a recurring association between blue jerseys and wins that the jerseys themselves bring about the victories.
  3. Bases its conclusion on a set of past games too unrepresentative to support any prediction about the team.
  4. Reaches a conclusion about guaranteeing victory that differs from the question the evidence was meant to address.
  5. Assumes that wearing the blue jerseys tomorrow is enough, by itself, to make a win absolutely certain.

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