medium · LSAT Logical Reasoning

Every time the local professional basketball team wears their blue jerseys, they win their game. Consequently, if the team wants to ensure a victory tomorrow night, they must wear their blue jerseys.

The argument's reasoning is most vulnerable to criticism because it:

  1. Treats a condition shown to be sufficient for winning as though it were also required for winning.
  2. Infers from a recurring link between blue jerseys and wins that the jerseys themselves cause the victories.
  3. Bases its conclusion on a set of past games far too unrepresentative to support a prediction.
  4. Reaches a conclusion about guaranteeing victory that differs from the question the evidence addresses.
  5. Assumes that wearing the blue jerseys tomorrow is, by itself, enough to make a win certain.

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