medium · LSAT Logical Reasoning

Meteorologist: Several computer models predict a mild winter for the northern region. However, these models fail to account for the unusually low sea-surface temperatures in the Atlantic, which in the past have been a reliable predictor of severe winters. Thus, we should prepare for more snowfall than average this year.

The meteorologist responds to the computer models' predictions by

  1. Pointing to a variable the models leave out that, if considered, points toward the opposite forecast.
  2. Supplying concrete evidence that the models were deliberately tampered with so as to yield a preferred result.
  3. Showing that the several models actually contradict one another in the forecasts they ultimately produce.
  4. Maintaining that the models rest on observational data that has recently been shown to be inaccurate.
  5. Demonstrating that sea-surface temperatures have, in fact, never reliably predicted a given winter's severity.

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