medium · LSAT Logical Reasoning

The last three times I wore my blue scarf to the stadium, the home team won their game. It is obvious that wearing my blue scarf is a significant factor in the team's victory.

The reasoning in the argument is most vulnerable to criticism on the grounds that it:

  1. concludes that an action contributed to a result merely because the action came before each instance of that result
  2. shifts the meaning of a key term partway through its line of reasoning
  3. draws on a group of fans too small to speak for the stadium's attendees as a whole
  4. overlooks that the home team might have prevailed even with the scarf left at home
  5. assumes that the scarf's color, rather than the scarf itself, is what influenced the games

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