medium · LSAT Logical Reasoning

A critic argues: 'The new policy has been in place for six months, and crime has decreased by 10 percent. The policy is clearly working.'

The reasoning in the critic's argument is most similar to which one of the following?

  1. The city installed red-light cameras, and accidents fell by 28 percent afterward; the cameras must therefore have curbed dangerous driving.
  2. Crime rates differ sharply from one district to the next, so any anti-crime measure ought to be tailored to the conditions of each location.
  3. Because economic desperation drives most offenders, lifting the local economy is the surest route to a lasting drop in crime.
  4. Anyone serious about cutting crime has to accept that putting more officers on the street is the one indispensable step.
  5. Since the policy worked here, it is bound to deliver an even larger reduction in crime everywhere else it is tried.

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