medium · LSAT Logical Reasoning

Speaker A: To minimize regional violence, we should stop making public declarations condemning oppressive regimes, since our last six declarations were each immediately followed by outbreaks of violence.

Speaker B: Those declarations were made only because our intelligence indicated that violence was already certain to occur. Stopping the declarations would not have prevented the violence.

The speakers disagree over whether:

  1. the public declarations were what brought about the violence that followed them.
  2. oppressive regimes deserve to be condemned by the international community.
  3. violence in fact occurred after each of the six public declarations.
  4. intelligence reports are generally a dependable gauge of regional stability.
  5. future violence can be predicted accurately enough to justify any policy change.

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