medium · LSAT Logical Reasoning

For decades the town's economy depended almost entirely on a single paper mill. When the mill closed last year, many observers predicted that the town would rapidly lose population. Yet the town's population has actually grown over the past year. Remote workers, attracted by unusually low housing costs, have been moving in faster than former mill employees have been leaving.

The statement that for decades the town's economy depended almost entirely on a single paper mill plays which one of the following roles in the argument?

  1. It is evidence offered to show that closing the mill caused the town's recent population growth.
  2. It is in fact a prediction that the argument goes on to show is false.
  3. It provides background context and is not itself offered as evidence for the argument's main point.
  4. It is the main conclusion that the argument seeks to establish.
  5. It is a premise that directly supports the argument's main conclusion.

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