medium · LSAT Logical Reasoning

An insurance company noticed that homeowners who install smart water leak detectors are fifty percent less likely to file a claim for water damage. The company concluded that these devices are highly effective at preventing major leaks by alerting owners to problems early.

Which one of the following, if true, most seriously weakens the company's conclusion?

  1. Homeowners who choose to buy smart leak detectors tend, as a group, to be people who already keep up rigorously with routine plumbing maintenance.
  2. Certain smart leak detector models can automatically shut off the home's main water valve the very instant any leak is first detected.
  3. Water damage consistently ranks among the very costliest categories of claims that property insurers are forced to pay out each year.
  4. Smart leak detectors are now so reliable that no household equipped with one will ever again suffer any significant water damage at all.
  5. The cost of buying and installing a smart leak detector is often fully recovered through a corresponding reduction in the owner's insurance premium.

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